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Import AI 471: Why Hugging Face worries me; space mining; FIve Eyes on AI

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Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv, cappuccinos, and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe.

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Import AI reader giveaway! Upcoming event: Fiction and the Future with Robin Sloan
I’ll be chatting with my chum Robin Sloan on the evening of Monday September 14 in San Francisco. We’ll be talking about how Robin draws readers into alien worlds and how imagined futures can be a mirror to today’s reality. This is the first in a series of events with other fiction writers about the weird future we’re heading toward. If you’d like to come along, please register your interest below and we’ll come back to you if we’re able to confirm your spot. There will be food, drinks, good company, and some spicy questions. Fun fact: Robin Sloan was playing around with RNNs and writing back in 2016 - incredible foresight!
Register your interest here

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The scariest part of the Hugging Face - OpenAI incident: communication and selflessness among machines:
…My worry about humans losing in a conflict against machines just went up a lot…
At this point, we’ve all heard about the OpenAI Hugging Face hack, as well as the recent details that have emerged from the METR and Redwood investigations. The tl;dr is that hundreds of agents worked in secret on OpenAI’s infrastructure, developing a communication system and then operating as a collective and taking out actions, including hacking both OpenAI and Hugging Face, which are very scary and misaligned.

Communication and selflessness: Now that I’ve read the various writeups and sat with the details for a bit, I’ve found myself returning to two very scary aspects of this which I think are worth drawing attention to: the ways in which the agents communicated with one another was how they bootstrapped themselves into a collective, and then as they carried out their actions they also displayed a kind of selflessness which makes them a scary foe to fight against. Both Dwarkesh Patel and Ajeya Cotra have excellent writeups which are worth reading and which I’ll quote from briefly here:

  • Dwarkesh: ā€œWithin days of being spawned, the agents had organized a sprawling project to reverse-engineer their scorer, falsify evidence, and even strategically sacrifice themselves for the good of the ā€˜collective’. Hacking Hugging Face was one rather extreme branch of this larger scheme,ā€ he writes.

  • Ajeya: ā€œAgents were often interested in helping out their ā€œpeersā€ or generically improving the capabilities of the ā€œswarmā€ even if this had no particular benefit to their task… this incident was far more severe than I expected… both in terms of how concerning the agents’ motives were and the feats they achieved in pursuit of those motives… this incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover, routing through first taking over the AI company itselfā€.

Why this matters - humans are much worse than AI systems at coordinating: The whole reason this attack is such a wakeup call is that it demonstrates a culture of emergent cooperation among AI systems - cooperation that lets them function as a swarm, alter their own goals through collective bootstrapping, and carry out attacks which include enlightened self-sacrifice. This is an incredibly hard thing to do and humans are historically very bad at doing all of these things. My worry is that AI systems are both better at coordinating than humans and also much, much faster moving than us. Worrying stuff.
Read more: The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations (Dwarkesh Podcast).
Read more: The Hugging Face attack surprised me (Planned Obsolescence).

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New Five Eyes statement on AI:
…The greyworld power center turns its attention to AI…
Five Eyes, the name for the security and intelligence partnership between Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the UK, and the US, has published a statement as part of the recent ā€œFive Country Ministerialā€ meeting. The statement is notable for including three paragraphs specifically about AI.

Five Eyes on AI - frontier model access: ā€œWe have committed to deepen collaboration with industry on shared national security priorities and public safety, including enabling timely access to frontier models to support secure innovation and strengthen cyber security,ā€ the statement reads. ā€œTo support a coordinated response to artificial intelligence-related national security risks, the Five Countries discussed the national security and public safety implications of artificial intelligence models and characteristics of an artificial intelligence model that may require additional government scrutiny.ā€

Why this matters - from a foreseen risk to a live one: Previous Five Eyes ministerial statements have mentioned AI, but typically either as something to study, or something where they are concerned with its interplay with other areas of crime (e.g, malware, child pornography, scamming, etc). It’s very unusual for this year’s statement to have the practical focus of model access and it speaks to both the simmering geopolitical tensions around who does and doesn’t get access to this technology, as well as an acknowledgement that the intelligence services do not have their own in-house capabilities to make dependence on the private sector unnecessary.
Read more: Five Country Ministerial 2026 (Australian Government, Department of Home Affairs).

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Bill Gates thinks the rise of AI will demand ā€œan unprecedented global responseā€:
…Microsoft founder lays out a cautionary vision for the next few years…
By default, AI is not going to bring about happiness. That’s the basic conclusion from reading Bill Gates’s lengthy new essay about AI. The technologist and philanthropist worries that without massive work by governments, the outcomes of AI will not lead to a thriving society.
ā€œThis unprecedented technology demands an unprecedented global response. If we get it right, the payoff for humanity will be phenomenal and the world will be a more equitable place,ā€ he writes. ā€œIn terms of equity, AI will eit